Mercury News interviewed the CEO of Envia on Jan 4.
http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_22312503/mercury-news-interview-atul-kapadia-battery-maker-envia-systemsHere's the bit worth reading:
Q: In February, Envia made a big splash when it announced it achieved a critical milestone: a rechargeable lithium-ion battery with an energy density of 400 watt-hours per kilogram, the highest energy density known. What's happened since then? Are you in commercialization?
A: We now have to prove our business model, and that means getting Envia's battery into a car. We're working with several automakers. We currently have more customer traction and partnerships in Japan than in the United States. 2013 is all about customers and proving the technology.
We're still two years out from the original 2015 date. If Envia makes it through manufacturer validation and selection tests, I would expect one of the big automakers to move very fast and either snap the company up or to obtain an exclusivity agreement.
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I don't think battery weight is a huge problem. There's room to improve, certainly - but the 2013 Zero bikes are significantly lighter than comparable gas bikes. They could handle a small amount of weight gain .. volume and price are the more important things to my mind.
Look at the 2012 Zero S battery:
EIG C020 cell: 3.65V 20Ah, 73 Wh, 0.43 kg = 170 Wh/kg. Cell dimensions 130 x 216 x 7.2mm.
ZF3 18s2p module: 2.7 kWh, 18.6 kg = 145 Wh/kg. 36 cells weigh 15.3 kg, packaging weighs 3.3 kg.
ZF3 battery box: 2.7 kWh, 24.5 kg = 110 Wh/kg. Module weighs 18.6 kg, enclosure weighs 5.9 kg.
ZF6 battery box: 5.3 kWh, 50.8 kg = 104 Wh/kg. Modules weigh 37.2 kg, enclosure weighs 13.6 kg.
ZF9 battery box: 7.9 kWh, 69.4 kg = 114 Wh/kg. Modules weigh 55.8 kg, enclosure weighs 13.6 kg.
Suppose this battery was now rebuilt with Envia 400 Wh/kg cells.
Envia 46Ah cell: 3.2V 46Ah, 147 Wh, 0.365 kg = 403 Wh/kg. Cell dimensions 97 x 190 x 10mm.
Because the chemistry is lower voltage, you would need 20 cells in series to make the same voltage as the EIG cells. A 20s2p pack wouldn't quite fit into the existing ZF3 battery box, but a redesigned battery box would be very close to the same volume so let's assume the same material weight.
ZF6.5 20s2p module: 5.9 kWh, 17.9 kg = 330 Wh/kg. 40 cells weigh 14.6 kg, packaging weighs 3.3 kg.
ZF6.5 battery box: 5.9 kWh, 23.8 kg = 248 Wh/kg. Module weighs 17.9 kg, packaging weighs 5.9 kg.
ZF13 battery box: 11.8 kWh, 49.4 kg = 239 Wh/kg. Modules weigh 37.8 kg, enclosure weighs 13.6 kg.
ZF19 battery box: 17.7 kWh, 67.3 kg = 263 Wh/kg. Modules weigh 53.7 kg, enclosure weighs 13.6 kg.
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Note that Neil Saiki's proposed 18650
16.1 kWh pack using Panasonic NCR18650A 3.1Ah batteries, same batteries shipping in the 85 kWh Tesla Model S, would weigh around 200 pounds / 90 kg .. even with a pack this heavy, his proposed bike would weigh less @ 400 pounds than most gas bikes today.
Panasonic is supposed to produce 3.4V 4.1 Ah 18650 cells this year, which would bring Saiki's pack up to 17.9 kWh nominal.
Panasonic's 2013 18650 cells have more mass per unit energy vs the Envia cells.. but energy density is still very good, offering twice the energy of the Empulse battery in - potentially - a lighter bike.
It will be interesting to see if Envia announces a partnership this year. Certainly I would expect to see some news if they secure a design win.. but by 2015 they may be merely competitive with the best instead of being hugely superior.