@ proto:
I dont think SAE-1772 DC wont overrun CHaDemo, out of several reasons:
1.: Chademo pretty much owns Japan. If you want to sell an EV in Japan, you must support Chademo. Those charging stations were build by TEPCO, and I dont think they will rebuild/change them to 1772.
The same reason applies to several european countries (NL, DAN, EST, GB)
2.: The Chademo plug is more advanced and build with enough reserve to upgrade to 2x the amperage without any problems. That would give those charging stations the possibility to upgrade to 125kW of supplied power without changing the interface.
The J1772 Plug on the other hand was designed with lvl 1 and 2 DC charging in mind and may have reached the limit with lvl 3 DC.
3.: The J1772 was designed by the automotive industry, the Chademo by a power company. Any questions? :D
Seriously, J1772 lvl 1 and lvl 2 AC were about the worst, uninspired standards ever, the only reason to specify them were to hold back recharging technology imho. Having VW, BMW etc on your team doesnt smell like success either :D
Even if both standards would compete on fair grounds I dont really see any reason besides the non-need to build a second socket in your car (which would be a reasonable argument for motorcycles with limited space, but in cars? Youre kiddin.) to use J1772.
Maybe Chademo wants ridiculous fees for implementing this standard, but I cant see that. Btw, did you have a look at choice of chargers?
http://www.chademo.com/wp/items/ there is one for everyone :D
@ the rather bad distribution of chademo chargers in the US: maybe thats because of the rather weak (at least you hear its weak, couldnt see it first hand yet) grid? But I dont see how 1772-DC could solve that problem.